Examining the Local Effects of Food Security Index Components Across Kalimantan Using Geographically Weighted Regression

Authors

  • Meirinda Fauziyah Statistics Study Program, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, Indonesia
  • Raditya Arya Kosasih Statistics Study Program, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, Indonesia
  • Ayu Bahriah Statistics Study Program, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, Indonesia
  • Suyitno Statistics Study Program, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematical and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, Indonesia
  • Andrea Tri Rian Dani Doctoral Study Program of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Airlangga University, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34123/jurnalasks.v18i1.971

Keywords:

Adaptive Gaussian, Food Security Index, Geographically Weighted Regression, Haversine Distance, Poverty

Abstract

Introduction/Main Objectives: Food security remains a critical concern across Kalimantan Island, where substantial spatial disparities exist among its 56 regencies and cities, making conventional global regression models inadequate for capturing localized differences. Background Problems: This study addresses the limitation of Multiple Linear Regression in accounting for spatial heterogeneity in the relationships between Food Security Index components and the overall index, raising the question of which components exhibit spatially varying local effects across locations. Novelty: This study presents the first spatially explicit analysis of food security determinants at the regency and city level across Kalimantan, employing Haversine distance combined with adaptive Gaussian kernel weighting within GWR a combination not previously applied in this context. Research Methods: GWR was applied to cross-sectional 2024 data from the Food Security and Vulnerability Atlas, incorporating Cross Validation bandwidth selection and Weighted Least Squares parameter estimation. Finding/Results: The GWR model outperformed MLR with an R² of 59.63% and MSE of 38.5241. The ratio of population per health worker and average years of schooling for women were the most spatially dominant components, significant in 45 and 43 locations respectively, supporting the need for location-specific policy interventions across Kalimantan.

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Published

2026-06-30

How to Cite

Fauziyah, M., Kosasih, R. A., Bahriah, A., Suyitno, & Dani, A. T. R. (2026). Examining the Local Effects of Food Security Index Components Across Kalimantan Using Geographically Weighted Regression. Jurnal Aplikasi Statistika & Komputasi Statistik, 18(1), 44–60. https://doi.org/10.34123/jurnalasks.v18i1.971